Oct 31 2008
Week 9
Not long ago, I discussed the struggling NFL teams and where they were headed. At the midpoint, let’s see how the best teams in the league thus far project down the stretch.
- Tennessee and NY Giants - Year in and year out teams which play top notch defense, run the ball and limit turnovers win. The Giants and Titans are playing this to a tee. I’m not 100% sold on the Titans, but I think even if they hit some rough patches, they’ve pretty much headed for a 1st round bye. The Giants are just a continuation of their late season heroics last year. The only thing that could stop them now, is severe injury to Eli Manning or a Plaxico Burress, TO style cancer situation. I doubt that is going to happen and figure they are headed to at least the NFC Championship game, at home.
- Pittsburgh and Carolina - Again these are teams which play very good defense. I worry about Carolina’s ability to win on the road, which I fully expect they’ll have to do in the playoffs. The return of Mushin Muhammed and Jake Delhomme has this team back on track. Pencil them into the playoffs. Pittsburgh was my AFC pick to make the Superbowl, however, they’ve had a brutal time keeping Ben Rothelisberger protected. Part of this is because he tends to hold the ball too long. They need to fix this or they’ll never get past the Titans.
- Buffalo and Washington - These two teams are 5-2 and 6-2, but they have only a roughly 20 point differential. Compare that to Titans (93) and Giants (76). Is this alarming? Maybe, it could just be an anomaly, but they are clearly winning the tight close games, and that is a tough thing to do for an entire season. I think they are likely to make the playoffs, but I wouldn’t be surpised if either has the wheels start to come off in a long NFL season.
- Dallas and New England - Seemingly going in opposite directions. Dallas is still talented enough to make a run of it, but I’m not sure they have the dedication to win tough games. Without Tony Romo they should still be able to post more than 13 and 14 points. New England on the other hand, has managed to redefine their offense on the fly after the Tom Brady injury. The Patriots will still have the bad games as expected with an inexperienced QB, but they’ve recovered quite well overall.
- Tampa Bay and Philadelphia - Jon Gruden is apparently Brian Billick all over again. Both managed to win Superbowls with veteran QBs and ridiciously good defenses; yet despite being considered offensive “geniuses” their offenses were constantly terrible. I expect nothing good from Tampa. They might make the playoffs but they aren’t going anywhere. The Eagles are simple to figure, Donovan McNabb (healthy and confident) plus Brian Westbrook (healthy and consistent touches) = Eagles win.
- San Diego fires defensive coordinator Ted Cottrell - They didn’t go far enough in firing coaches. They should have fired Norv Turner as well. Why does Turner have a job? He’s 72-95 as a head coach with only 2 playoff appearances in 10 seasons. San Diego needs a young aggressive coach, not a retread.
- Mike Singletary done lost his mind - I thought benching Vernon Davis was a great stand for a coach to turn around his team. I thought his post game tirade was bit dramatic, but generally agreed with his comments just not necessarily his method. However, dropping his pants at halftime to demonstrate how the 49ers were getting their butts kicked is just crazy. If these 3 events had happened over a long season at different times, I’d think he was crazy like the Chicago White Sox coach Ozzie Guillen who is notorious for firing off his mouth. But Singletary did all this in what 4 hours? No way he’ll last as a NFL head coach, what could he possibly do now to motivate his players?
Picks:
Last week: Kali 4-2, Antonio 3-3 - Overall: Kali 19-16, Antonio 18-17
Green Bay at Tennessee:
Kali: The last undefeated team risks a slight drop off this week after beating their big rival, the Colts. But the Titans are so physical on both sides of the ball, and that usually doesn’t take a week off.
Pick: Tennessee
Houston at Minnesota:
Antonio: Houston is on a roll with three straight wins after starting 0-4. Andre Johnson when healthy is as good as any receiver in the league. He’s healthy now and on pace for nearly 1800 yards. Minnesota had a much needed bye last week to try to regroup after giving up 48 points to the Bears. Oh, forgot to mention Houstons three wins were all at home, now they are in Minnesota, facing a desperate team.
Pick: Minnesota
Miami at Denver:
Antonio: The Bronos looked great offensively early this season, but have lost 3 of 4 including one to the Kansas City Chefs. Then they got completely trashed in New England. They are coming off a bye and like Minnesota are desperate. If they somehow drop this one at home to the Dolphins, it may be time for Mike Shanahan to move on.
Pick: Denver
NY Jets at Buffalo:
Kali: Eric Man”genius” told Brett Favre to cut down on interceptions. I’ve been telling him that for the last 5 years. Buffalo is the better team with or without Favre taking the advice.
Pick: Buffalo
New England at Indianapolis:
Kali: Is this the week Indianapolis finally stands up? They were actually in the game with the Titans late. I think Peyton and the boys will show up this week. This is also Cassell’s first big time national TV road game.
Pick: Indianapolis
Antonio: For years this may have been the most important game on the NFL regular season schedule. Tom Brady versus Peyton Manning. Well, this year it is Matt Cassell versus the ghost of Peyton. Cassell has improved week in and week out, and the Patriots have continued to have an effective running game despite being down to a practice squad back. Meanwhile, Manning, Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison just haven’t been on the same page all year. Tough call on this one.
Pick: Indianapolis
Dallas at NY Giants:
Antonio: The Georgia Bulldogs last year stormed the field after taking a 7-0 lead against rival Florida, showing them up in route to an upset win. Unless Dallas does something so completely obnoxious and causes the Giants to go completely off their game. They will be stomped out like that end zone.
Pick: Giants
Kali: Giants won a slug fest in Pittsburgh last week. Probably the best road win in the NFL all year. It doesn’t matter who starts for Dallas at QB, the Giants see this as a way to maybe knock the Cowboys out of the playoff hunt.
Pick: NY Giants
Philadelphia at Seattle:
Kali: Westbrook is the most important player in the league to his team. He won’t win the MVP because of the year’s Drew Brees and Clinton Portis are having. Seneca Wallace vs. Jim Johnson, I wonder who I’m going with?
Pick: Westbrook and the rest of the team
Antonio: Seems like a total mismatch. If this game is going to be the blowout it should be, the Eagles will start out hot. They have one major issue, looking ahead. The Giants come to Philly next week, and if they don’t get up quickly by a couple of touchdowns, this will be an oddly close game.
Pick: Eagles
Pittsburgh at Washington:
Antonio: The Steelers are facing a tough game, but for some reason I just don’t see the Redskins being able to abuse Big Ben the way they need to as they are tied for 28th in the league in sacks with 10. If Big Ben has time, he’ll find Hines Ward and Santonio Holmes. I see an upset brewing.
Pick: Washington
Kali: The Redskins are banged up this week with Moss and Portis hurting. Pittsburgh plays physical enough to be in the NFC East but are 0-2 against the division this year. Redskins have a Black quarterback and we will have our first Black President by this time next week. So the country is going in one direction:
Pick: Washington “Jason Obama” Redskins
