I picked the Pittsburgh Steelers and Philadelphia Eagles to make the Superbowl. I’m now ruling them both out. The Steelers still stand a very good chance of the playoffs, but I’m officially ruling my Eagles out of the playoffs.
For the Steelers, Ben Rothelisberger just isn’t cutting it right now. His shoulder has apparently been hurting all season. But it is more than that, the offense isn’t performing with him on the field. His decision making is slow, and he’s taking more hits then he should. Maybe the offensive line isn’t very good; but he’s holding the ball forever.
Byron Leftwich came in at halftime of the Redskins game, throwing 7-10 with a TD and two scoring drives. The Steelers are committed to winning with defense and a running game. They have bought in for years to the Dick Lebeau defensive system, hard running and timely passing. But right now the running game isn’t working, and Big Ben is throwing too many ints.
Unless Rothelisberger gets healthy and suddenly starts passing faster, they will be easy fodder for a teams like the Titans and Patriots who will hit the QB relentlessly. And their upcoming schedule includes SD, Baltimore, Dallas, New England and Tennessee.
Back to my Eagles, consider that Andy Reid, Donovan McNabb and tackles John Runyan and Tra Thomas have been together for 10 years. Brian Westbrook and LJ Smith each have been there for 6+ years. And this is an offense which can’t gain 1 yard on the ground in crucial moments? This is an offense which is notoriously inefficient at the 2 minute drill? This is a QB which in the past two weeks has started a combined 0-13 passing?
I’ll get to the defense in a minute, however, the Eagles offense holds the biggest key to this team’s constant disappointments. In each of their close losses this year, the offense had the ball with less than 10 minutes to play and an opportunity to take the lead. They failed each time.
To make it worse, I’m stunned that Reid seems to trust his offensive line to run block in short yardage more then he trusts McNabb to pick up two yards either passing or running. NBC showed that the Eagles are something like 3-3 passing in short yardage on 3rd or 4th down while like 3-14 running. Huh? A notoriously high passing team, suddenly gets running religious when they need to convert the most? Reid and his offensive coordinator Marty Mohrneingway are clearly over thinking. When a coach can no longer trust his QB to pick up 1st downs like this, then he needs a QB change. I’m not saying the Eagles should do that, but the point is, why do you have the guy there if you don’t have confidence in him? You can say you do, but your action speak otherwise.
As far as Donovan McNabb goes, I love the man. I can say that and keep my masculinity. I’m a Syracuse fan and I’ve basically watched him play now for about 15 years. The reality is and has always been, he’s streaky and he has choked in the clutch. Boy it took me a lot to admit that, since I’m a staunch defender of his. What really bugs me about that, is not so much that is part of his traits, but that Andy Reid hasn’t found a way to ensure that these flaws don’t kill the team. Knowing that McNabb is streaky, wouldn’t you rely more on running early in games to get the offense going with or without a hot McNabb? No, instead they often throw a lot early, you can book it, within the first 3 plays of any game, they will play action and look for DeSean Jackson deep. And this scenario has gone back 10 years, even in the Todd Pinkston days.
Can McNabb win the big one? Not with Philadelphia, not with Andy Reid. Maybe somewhere else, a perfect storm will come together for him.
Picks:
Last week: Antonio (3-3), Kali (4-2)
Overall: Kali 27-20, Antonio 25-22
Chicago at Green Bay:
Antonio: The Brett Farve lovers will point out the Packers record last year with him, and this year with Aaron Rodgers. They’ll then point out the Jets record last year without Farve and then this year with him, and talk about how great Farve is. And he is great, but last year, the Packers won because they were a very good team. This year they are struggling because a) they can’t run the ball, and b) their defense isn’t nearly as good. Rodgers has been very good for a first year starter. The Bears need to be able to run the ball, even more so if Rex Grossman starts.
Pick: Packers
San Diego at Pittsburgh:
Kali: Big Ben is losing games for Pittsburgh this year. I don’t know if he is hurt or what, but right now he is hurting the team. It makes sense to let him rest a week or two to get him healthy for the playoffs. Because the way he is playing right now they won’t go far. But at least they aren’t the Chargers. Who because they’re in such a terrible division could still win it and make the playoffs.
Pick: Pittsburgh
Houston at Indianapolis:
Antonio: As good as Peyton Manning is, the Colts have a disappointing record because of their running game. He can only carry them but so much, and he needs to be able to play action pass for the big scores they are known for. They are the NFL’s worst rushing team, 900 yards less then the best, the Giants. They need to turn that around to make noise. This week they are at home, against one of the weaker rushing defenses, a good chance to get it rolling.
Pick: Indy
Denver at Atlanta:
Kali: Does anyone in Atlanta even wear a #7 jersey anymore? Atlanta has to be the surprise of the year, not just with the play of Matt Ryan, but the defense as well. There is no” D” in enver this year.
Pick: Atlanta
Oakland at Miami:
Antonio: Memo to Al Davis: retire. Pull a George Steinbrenner and take a step back away from the day to day franchise concerns. Look at Miami across the field this weekend. They were the worst team in the NFL last year, 1-15. They cleaned house, turned the reins over to a true football man, Bill Parcells, and stayed out of the way. If the Raiders are to return to glory anytime soon, then Davis will just need to become a fan like mostly everyone else.
Pick: Miami
Detroit at Carolina:
Kali: Do you believe we are going to have to watch the Lions on Thanksgiving? I love Culpepper but why would you bring him into a team that is this bad. Play the young QB and see what you got cause you aint going nowhere this year anyway.
Pick: Carolina
Philly at Cincinnati:
Kali: Cincy has been playing well recently. But Philly is basically in a must-win scenario the rest of the season. And Philly’s biggest weakness, run defense, can’t be exploited in this game.
Pick: Philly
Antonio: I’ve stated before that the Eagles are a Bully team which can’t step up to the plate against the bigger bullies down the block. Which of course means they’ll win this one against an NFL version of a nerd, Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Pick: Philly
Baltimore at NY Giants:
Antonio: I’m continually impressed by the Giants. They are showing NFL teams how to win games. Why worry about installing the ultra popular Wildcat when you can just batter a team into submission running the ball? The Giants don’t run the ball as well as they do, because they can’t pass; they run it because they believe in it, which makes it really hard to beat them, unless of course their running backs keep trying to leap over tacklers.
Pick: NY Giants
Kali: This is going to be a great match up between the Giants 3 headed running attack and the best rush defense in the NFL. I know statistically someone may have better stats, but the Ravens haven’t allowed a 100 yard rusher in 27 games. To me that makes them the best. Many time I’ve picked against the Ravens because I keep expecting Flacco to play like a rookie and he has proven me wrong. But finally this has to be the week against the Giants D. I hope.
Pick: NY Giants
Dallas at Washington:
Kali: Both teams coming off the bye week were supposed to be as healthy as they could be. But now it looks like Clinton Portis may not play. That is a huge loss for the Skins. But the Skins D always plays well against Romo and Marion Barber. I see this as a close game with the Skins somehow, some way winning it late.
Pick: Redskins
Antonio: Dallas has managed to survive the loss of Tony Romo thanks to the bye week. They played without him for 3 games, going 1-2 with only the St. Louis loss being a true problem. If Romo comes out ready to play, they can win this one. If they do, they are looking at running to 8-4 due to two upcoming patsies (49ers and Seahawks at home). Meanwhile, a win here for Washington would create drastic separation between the Redskins and Cowboys.
Pick: Cowboys